Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000164 0.000177 0.000191 0.000206 0.000223 0.000241 0.000263
2024-10-27 0.000146 0.000165 0.000186 0.000211 0.000242 0.000277 0.000322
2024-11-03 0.000130 0.000151 0.000175 0.000206 0.000244 0.000291 0.000353
2024-11-10 0.000120 0.000142 0.000168 0.000203 0.000248 0.000305 0.000384
2024-11-17 0.000111 0.000133 0.000162 0.000199 0.000250 0.000316 0.000412
2024-11-24 0.000105 0.000128 0.000158 0.000199 0.000256 0.000332 0.000448
2024-12-01 0.000100 0.000124 0.000155 0.000199 0.000260 0.000347 0.000483
2024-12-08 0.000096 0.000121 0.000154 0.000201 0.000269 0.000367 0.000528
2024-12-15 0.000091 0.000116 0.000149 0.000198 0.000270 0.000377 0.000557
2024-12-22 0.000088 0.000113 0.000147 0.000198 0.000275 0.000392 0.000597
2024-12-29 0.000085 0.000111 0.000146 0.000199 0.000282 0.000411 0.000646
2025-01-05 0.000083 0.000109 0.000145 0.000202 0.000290 0.000434 0.000702
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000105 0.000142 0.000199 0.000291 0.000444 0.000741
2025-01-19 0.000078 0.000104 0.000143 0.000204 0.000305 0.000478 0.000829
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000100 0.000138 0.000199 0.000302 0.000481 0.000856
2025-02-02 0.000071 0.000096 0.000134 0.000196 0.000302 0.000491 0.000899
2025-02-09 0.000068 0.000093 0.000130 0.000192 0.000300 0.000497 0.000935
2025-02-16 0.000066 0.000091 0.000129 0.000192 0.000305 0.000516 0.001001
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000089 0.000127 0.000192 0.000309 0.000533 0.001065
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000088 0.000127 0.000194 0.000317 0.000560 0.001160
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000085 0.000124 0.000191 0.000317 0.000568 0.001210
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000084 0.000122 0.000191 0.000321 0.000588 0.001292
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.000083 0.000122 0.000192 0.000328 0.000614 0.001398